Gordon, Colton
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.26 |
| ERA current pace | 8.79 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.29 |
| Observed weight | 23% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 33.9% | 92 | 106 | limited sample |
| FB | 28.4% | 77 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 21.4% | 58 | 95 | limited sample |
| CH | 14.0% | 38 | 102 | limited sample |
| CB | 2.2% | 6 | 112 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 70.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 311 | -- | -- |
| K% | 17.4% | 15.1% to 23.6% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 5.6% | 3.3% to 8.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 17.9% | 13.9% to 21.8% | +/- 4.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.74 | 0.84 to 2.60 | +/- 0.88 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.324 | 0.270 to 0.361 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.3% | 6.5% to 13.0% | +/- 3.2% |
| ERA | 4.69 | 3.25 to 6.49 | +/- 1.62 |
| FIP | 4.68 | 3.54 to 5.59 | +/- 1.03 |
| WHIP | 1.284 | 1.041 to 1.680 | +/- 0.320 |
78 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.235 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
301 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 15.8% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 9.8% |