Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.98 |
| ERA current pace | 2.78 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.34 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 37.5% | 377 | 109 | qualified |
| SI | 23.4% | 235 | 114 | qualified |
| SL | 20.2% | 203 | 94 | qualified |
| FC | 11.8% | 119 | 95 | limited sample |
| CH | 5.5% | 55 | 98 | limited sample |
| CB | 1.6% | 16 | 93 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.77 |
| K% Δ | +0.065 |
| Sample | 67.7 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 68.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 304 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.2% | 13.9% to 23.3% | +/- 4.7% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 5.4% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 19.8% | 16.0% to 24.1% | +/- 4.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.55 | 0.85 to 2.16 | +/- 0.66 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.340 | 0.281 to 0.378 | +/- 0.048 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.1% | 5.4% to 10.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 4.55 | 2.77 to 5.92 | +/- 1.58 |
| FIP | 4.69 | 3.15 to 5.48 | +/- 1.17 |
| WHIP | 1.330 | 1.072 to 1.598 | +/- 0.263 |
| xwOBA | 0.323 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 8.6% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.293 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 7.1% |
