Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Raquet, Nick

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.3% K%
Range
2.3% to 23.0%
Live Δ
--
Team BAL Archetype Volatile contact Age 31 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
44
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal3 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
ERA preseason3.06
ERA current pace10.13
ERA rolling p503.45
Observed weight6%
ERA
1.17 2.25 3.45 4.65 5.73
FIP
2.31 3.28 4.36 5.45 6.42
K%
6.6% 11.3% 16.4% 21.6% 26.2%
BB%
2.6% 5.3% 8.3% 11.4% 14.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-15
Mithrandir Stuff+101
41
Sinker Stuff+93
10
Slider Stuff+106
81
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2025Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Raquet, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 41%41%Whiff: 4%4%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 36%36%Hard hit allowed: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Raquet, Nick · 2025 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 48.1%Sinker: 29.6%Changeup: 11.1%4-Seam Fastball: 11.1% ST48% · 82 mphprimary pitch ST 48%SI 30%CH 11%FF 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Raquet, Nick · 2025 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sweeper: 48% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 82.1 mphST82 mphSinker: 30% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 86.7 mphCH87 mph4-Seam Fastball: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 91.2 mphFF91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 70.3% 45 106 limited sample
SI 26.6% 17 93 limited sample
FC 3.1% 2 46 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
2
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sweeper 48%, Sinker 30%, Changeup 11%.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings31.0----
Batters Faced127----
K%21.3%2.3% to 23.0%+/- 10.3%
BB%9.3%0.9% to 13.1%+/- 6.1%
Whiff%22.9%3.2% to 28.1%+/- 12.4%
HR/91.260.00 to 1.68+/- 0.84
xwOBA Against0.3050.032 to 0.343+/- 0.155
Barrel% Allowed7.6%0.1% to 8.9%+/- 4.4%
ERA3.940.00 to 4.83+/- 2.41
FIP4.381.25 to 5.60+/- 2.18
WHIP1.1430.133 to 1.376+/- 0.622
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

4 career BF

xwOBA0.040
K%3.3%
BB%2.6%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

3 career BF

xwOBA0.044
K%3.0%
BB%2.7%
Barrel0.1%