Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.02 |
| ERA current pace | 2.73 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.54 |
| Observed weight | 37% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 52.7% | 98 | 103 | limited sample |
| SL | 43.5% | 81 | 102 | limited sample |
| SI | 3.8% | 7 | 86 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.30 |
| K% Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 32.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 39.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 167 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.5% | 19.0% to 32.7% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 10.7% | 6.7% to 15.6% | +/- 4.5% |
| Whiff% | 27.2% | 21.9% to 34.3% | +/- 6.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.23 | 0.59 to 2.22 | +/- 0.81 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.314 | 0.247 to 0.363 | +/- 0.058 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.8% | 3.6% to 11.8% | +/- 4.1% |
| ERA | 4.03 | 2.23 to 6.29 | +/- 2.03 |
| FIP | 4.19 | 2.50 to 5.22 | +/- 1.36 |
| WHIP | 1.332 | 0.986 to 1.682 | +/- 0.348 |
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 24.4% |
| BB% | 10.3% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.282 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 11.1% |
| Barrel | 7.5% |
