Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAD · 2026

Eder, Jake

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.4% K%
Range
11.8% to 27.5%
Live Δ
--
Team LAD Archetype Volatile contact Age 28 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
48
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal3 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
ERA preseason3.94
ERA current pace2.25
ERA rolling p503.84
Observed weight6%
ERA
1.85 2.79 3.84 4.88 5.83
FIP
2.89 3.46 4.10 4.74 5.31
K%
11.9% 15.4% 19.3% 23.2% 26.7%
BB%
5.3% 7.0% 9.0% 10.9% 12.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-15
Fastball Stuff+104
67
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Slider Stuff+98
28
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2025Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Eder, Jake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 32%32%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 9%9%Called strike: 5%5%First pitch strike: 27%27%Hard hit allowed: 69%69% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Eder, Jake · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.7%Sweeper: 19.5%Slider: 18.2%Changeup: 17.5% FF45% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 45%ST 20%SL 18%CH 18% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Eder, Jake · 2025 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 93.1 mphFF93 mphSweeper: 20% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 83.0 mphST83 mphSlider: 18% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 87.8 mphSL88 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 84.5 mphCH85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 60.7% 34 104 limited sample
SL 33.9% 19 98 limited sample
CB 3.6% 2 101 limited sample
CH 1.8% 1 56 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.205 vs 0.228 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
3
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
4
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 45%, Sweeper 20%, Slider 18%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings30.9----
Batters Faced133----
K%22.4%11.8% to 27.5%+/- 7.8%
BB%9.7%5.7% to 13.4%+/- 3.8%
Whiff%23.8%15.2% to 28.1%+/- 6.5%
HR/91.320.54 to 2.01+/- 0.73
xwOBA Against0.3110.237 to 0.372+/- 0.068
Barrel% Allowed8.4%4.0% to 11.9%+/- 4.0%
ERA4.262.00 to 6.22+/- 2.11
FIP4.233.11 to 5.68+/- 1.28
WHIP1.3090.856 to 1.601+/- 0.372
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

33 career BF

xwOBA0.205
K%14.5%
BB%7.0%
Barrel6.4%
vs RHH

54 career BF

xwOBA0.228
K%13.7%
BB%8.1%
Barrel7.7%