Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TB · 2026

Englert, Mason

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.4% K%
Range
15.8% to 29.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 27 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
38
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
34
Arsenal6 metrics
79
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.20
ERA current pace4.54
ERA rolling p504.35
Observed weight44%
ERA
2.62 3.44 4.35 5.26 6.08
FIP
3.55 4.18 4.87 5.56 6.18
K%
17.2% 19.2% 21.4% 23.5% 25.5%
BB%
3.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.56
15
ERA4.54
37
BB%4.8%
96 +22 vs proj
K%20.3%
37
xwOBA allowed0.373
5 -54 vs proj
Barrel allowed15.6%
1 -37 vs proj
Fastball velo92.2
18
Hard-hit allowed38.5%
49
Whiff%22.8%
52
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+109
93
Curveball Stuff+105
89
Cutter Stuff+102
52
Fastball Stuff+104
62
Mithrandir Stuff+106
85
Sinker Stuff+109
93
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 27%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Englert, Mason · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.373 2026-09-12: 0.3622026-09-13: 0.3622026-09-14: 0.3622026-09-18: 0.3622026-09-19: 0.3622026-09-20: 0.3622026-09-21: 0.3622026-09-22: 0.3622026-09-23: 0.3622026-09-24: 0.3732026-09-25: 0.3732026-09-26: 0.373 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Englert, Mason · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Englert, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 27.4%Sinker: 19.5%Curveball: 18.2%4-Seam Fastball: 17.7%Cutter: 10.3%Slider: 5.4% CH27% · 86 mphprimary pitch CH 27%SI 20%CU 18%FF 18%FC 10%SL 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Englert, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Changeup: 27% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 86.4 mphCH86 mphSinker: 20% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 91.7 mphSI92 mphCurveball: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 65″ drop, 74.7 mphCU75 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.8 mphFF93 mphCutter: 10% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.1 mphFC86 mphSlider: 5% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 81.7 mphSL82 mphSlow Curve: 1% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 80″ drop, 66.3 mphCS66 mphSweeper: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 80.6 mphST81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 29.9% 103 109 limited sample
SI 21.2% 73 109 limited sample
CB 19.4% 67 105 limited sample
FB 16.8% 58 104 limited sample
FC 12.8% 44 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Changeup 34%, 4-Seam Fastball 20%, Cutter 20%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.63
K% Δ-0.011
Sample40.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings35.2----
Batters Faced152----
K%21.4%15.8% to 29.3%+/- 6.8%
BB%7.2%4.2% to 10.8%+/- 3.3%
Whiff%23.8%20.3% to 29.6%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.180.44 to 2.43+/- 1.00
xwOBA Against0.3060.274 to 0.380+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed8.2%3.6% to 14.4%+/- 5.4%
ERA3.911.97 to 6.83+/- 2.43
FIP4.052.63 to 6.32+/- 1.85
WHIP1.2801.011 to 1.725+/- 0.357
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

240 career BF

xwOBA0.327
K%17.9%
BB%7.0%
Barrel10.0%
vs RHH

322 career BF

xwOBA0.314
K%20.0%
BB%5.1%
Barrel10.4%