Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TB · 2026

Englert, Mason

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.4% K%
Range
15.8% to 29.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 27 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
51
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
44
Arsenal6 metrics
77
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.20
ERA current pace3.81
ERA rolling p504.06
Observed weight37%
ERA
2.28 3.12 4.06 4.99 5.83
FIP
2.76 3.40 4.11 4.82 5.46
K%
16.8% 18.9% 21.3% 23.7% 25.9%
BB%
3.9% 5.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
40
ERA3.81
55
BB%5.0%
96 +24 vs proj
K%19.9%
32
xwOBA allowed0.332
31 -28 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.8%
7 -35 vs proj
Fastball velo92.3
20
Hard-hit allowed36.3%
67
Whiff%23.0%
50
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Changeup Stuff+108
85
Curveball Stuff+105
90
Cutter Stuff+102
48
Fastball Stuff+104
65
Mithrandir Stuff+106
84
Sinker Stuff+108
92
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 29%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Englert, Mason · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.332 2026-07-05: 0.3492026-07-06: 0.3492026-07-07: 0.3262026-07-08: 0.3262026-07-09: 0.3262026-07-10: 0.3262026-07-11: 0.3262026-07-12: 0.3262026-07-13: 0.3262026-07-14: 0.3262026-07-15: 0.3262026-07-16: 0.332 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Englert, Mason · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Englert, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 29.0%Sinker: 19.3%4-Seam Fastball: 18.2%Curveball: 15.7%Cutter: 9.5%Slider: 6.4% CH29% · 87 mphprimary pitch CH 29%SI 19%FF 18%CU 16%FC 9%SL 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Englert, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Changeup: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 86.6 mphCH87 mphSinker: 19% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 91.8 mphSI92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.8 mphFF93 mphCurveball: 16% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 64″ drop, 75.0 mphCU75 mphCutter: 9% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.2 mphFC86 mphSlider: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 81.7 mphSL82 mphSlow Curve: 1% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 75″ drop, 68.7 mphCS69 mphSweeper: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 80.6 mphST81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 33.2% 86 108 limited sample
SI 21.2% 55 108 limited sample
FB 16.6% 43 104 limited sample
CB 15.8% 41 105 limited sample
FC 13.1% 34 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Changeup 34%, 4-Seam Fastball 20%, Cutter 20%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.12
K% Δ-0.016
Sample32.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings35.6----
Batters Faced154----
K%21.4%15.8% to 29.3%+/- 6.8%
BB%7.2%4.2% to 10.8%+/- 3.3%
Whiff%23.8%20.3% to 29.6%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.180.44 to 2.43+/- 1.00
xwOBA Against0.3060.274 to 0.380+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed8.2%3.6% to 14.4%+/- 5.4%
ERA3.931.96 to 6.83+/- 2.43
FIP4.052.63 to 6.32+/- 1.85
WHIP1.2801.011 to 1.725+/- 0.357
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

240 career BF

xwOBA0.327
K%17.9%
BB%7.0%
Barrel10.0%
vs RHH

322 career BF

xwOBA0.314
K%20.0%
BB%5.1%
Barrel10.4%