Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.88 |
| ERA current pace | 6.96 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.43 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 42.5% | 323 | 104 | qualified |
| CH | 23.9% | 182 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 12.5% | 95 | 103 | limited sample |
| FC | 11.6% | 88 | 99 | limited sample |
| SL | 9.5% | 72 | 95 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +3.15 |
| K% Δ | -0.024 |
| Sample | 53.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 138.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 581 | -- | -- |
| K% | 20.8% | 17.1% to 25.6% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 5.5% to 10.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| Whiff% | 21.4% | 18.8% to 25.7% | +/- 3.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.21 | 0.58 to 1.83 | +/- 0.63 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.281 to 0.343 | +/- 0.031 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 6.2% to 11.3% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 3.81 | 2.35 to 5.05 | +/- 1.35 |
| FIP | 4.01 | 2.86 to 5.39 | +/- 1.26 |
| WHIP | 1.202 | 1.013 to 1.489 | +/- 0.238 |
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |
