Legumina, Casey
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.58 |
| ERA current pace | 3.32 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.17 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 40.2% | 146 | 105 | limited sample |
| SL | 28.9% | 105 | 107 | limited sample |
| SI | 20.9% | 76 | 106 | limited sample |
| CH | 9.9% | 36 | 96 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.41 |
| K% Δ | -0.085 |
| Sample | 27.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 60.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 272 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.9% | 17.6% to 29.7% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 5.7% to 13.3% | +/- 3.8% |
| Whiff% | 22.3% | 15.3% to 25.2% | +/- 4.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.34 | 0.91 to 2.42 | +/- 0.76 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.333 | 0.260 to 0.375 | +/- 0.058 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.8% | 4.8% to 11.7% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 4.73 | 2.79 to 7.55 | +/- 2.38 |
| FIP | 4.19 | 2.77 to 5.47 | +/- 1.35 |
| WHIP | 1.392 | 1.148 to 1.769 | +/- 0.311 |
153 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 11.8% |
| Barrel | 8.8% |
186 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 21.0% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |