Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.71 |
| ERA current pace | 7.34 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.30 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 42.0% | 203 | 98 | qualified |
| SL | 40.6% | 196 | 100 | limited sample |
| FB | 17.4% | 84 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +3.83 |
| K% Δ | +0.025 |
| Sample | 37.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 35.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 162 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.7% | 16.3% to 30.0% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 10.6% | 5.6% to 15.4% | +/- 4.9% |
| Whiff% | 23.3% | 17.8% to 30.6% | +/- 6.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.20 | 0.36 to 1.88 | +/- 0.76 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.307 | 0.231 to 0.351 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 3.2% to 11.7% | +/- 4.3% |
| ERA | 3.51 | 1.55 to 6.31 | +/- 2.38 |
| FIP | 4.01 | 2.71 to 6.20 | +/- 1.74 |
| WHIP | 1.334 | 1.062 to 1.774 | +/- 0.356 |
| xwOBA | 0.301 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 12.8% |
| Barrel | 8.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.272 |
| K% | 21.8% |
| BB% | 9.3% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
