Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / AZ · 2026

Clarke, Taylor

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.2% K%
Range
15.6% to 29.0%
Live Δ
yes
Team AZ Archetype Balanced reliever Age 33 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.15
ERA current pace1.99
ERA rolling p503.51
Observed weight29%
ERA
1.85 2.64 3.51 4.39 5.18
FIP
3.37 3.76 4.19 4.62 5.01
K%
14.4% 16.7% 19.3% 21.9% 24.2%
BB%
2.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 8.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%3.0%
100 +16 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.2%
58 +16 vs proj
Fastball velo94.9
62
Hard-hit allowed31.3%
90
K%12.0%
1 -48 vs proj
Whiff%18.9%
19 -29 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.272
83 +34 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
66
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Clarke, Taylor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2692026-05-19: 0.2702026-05-21: 0.2702026-05-23: 0.2742026-05-24: 0.2742026-05-25: 0.2662026-05-26: 0.2662026-05-28: 0.2662026-05-29: 0.2682026-05-30: 0.2682026-05-31: 0.2712026-06-01: 0.272 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Clarke, Taylor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Clarke, Taylor · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 32.5%Changeup: 21.5%Sinker: 21.2%Cutter: 20.7%4-Seam Fastball: 4.1% MIX SL 33%CH 21%SI 21%FC 21%FF 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Clarke, Taylor · 2026 arsenal snapshot SL: HB -0.2, IVB 2.6SLCH: HB -1.1, IVB 2.7CHSI: HB 0.6, IVB 1.7SIFC: HB -0.2, IVB 1.6FCFF: HB -0.3, IVB 1.2FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 34.0% 107 103 limited sample
CH 21.6% 68 110 limited sample
FC 21.3% 67 103 limited sample
SI 19.7% 62 98 limited sample
FB 3.5% 11 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.286 vs 0.265 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 39%, 4-Seam Fastball 22%, Changeup 20%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-2.22
K% Δ-0.102
Sample26.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings35.6----
Batters Faced146----
K%22.2%15.6% to 29.0%+/- 6.7%
BB%6.1%3.3% to 10.6%+/- 3.7%
Whiff%22.9%18.4% to 27.6%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.230.83 to 2.45+/- 0.81
xwOBA Against0.3130.261 to 0.361+/- 0.050
Barrel% Allowed8.2%3.9% to 12.8%+/- 4.4%
ERA4.212.22 to 6.59+/- 2.18
FIP4.033.05 to 5.19+/- 1.07
WHIP1.2150.850 to 1.517+/- 0.334
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

702 career BF

xwOBA0.286
K%19.0%
BB%5.4%
Barrel9.2%
vs RHH

814 career BF

xwOBA0.265
K%20.3%
BB%4.2%
Barrel8.2%