Clarke, Taylor
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.15 |
| ERA current pace | 1.99 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.51 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 34.0% | 107 | 103 | limited sample |
| CH | 21.6% | 68 | 110 | limited sample |
| FC | 21.3% | 67 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 19.7% | 62 | 98 | limited sample |
| FB | 3.5% | 11 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -2.22 |
| K% Δ | -0.102 |
| Sample | 26.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 35.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 146 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.2% | 15.6% to 29.0% | +/- 6.7% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 3.3% to 10.6% | +/- 3.7% |
| Whiff% | 22.9% | 18.4% to 27.6% | +/- 4.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.23 | 0.83 to 2.45 | +/- 0.81 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.313 | 0.261 to 0.361 | +/- 0.050 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.2% | 3.9% to 12.8% | +/- 4.4% |
| ERA | 4.21 | 2.22 to 6.59 | +/- 2.18 |
| FIP | 4.03 | 3.05 to 5.19 | +/- 1.07 |
| WHIP | 1.215 | 0.850 to 1.517 | +/- 0.334 |
702 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 9.2% |
814 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.265 |
| K% | 20.3% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 8.2% |