Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.57 |
| ERA current pace | 6.86 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.68 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 34.0% | 254 | 108 | qualified |
| CH | 26.5% | 198 | 108 | limited sample |
| FC | 11.9% | 89 | 102 | limited sample |
| CB | 10.4% | 78 | 95 | limited sample |
| SL | 10.0% | 75 | 94 | limited sample |
| SI | 7.1% | 53 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.96 |
| K% Δ | -0.015 |
| Sample | 48.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 72.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 309 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.2% | 14.3% to 24.0% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 3.9% to 8.2% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 19.3% | 16.7% to 23.9% | +/- 3.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.64 | 0.95 to 2.59 | +/- 0.82 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.330 | 0.279 to 0.361 | +/- 0.041 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.7% | 5.8% to 12.3% | +/- 3.3% |
| ERA | 4.90 | 3.17 to 6.76 | +/- 1.80 |
| FIP | 4.61 | 3.25 to 5.57 | +/- 1.16 |
| WHIP | 1.307 | 1.058 to 1.560 | +/- 0.251 |
| xwOBA | 0.328 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 9.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.303 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 8.7% |
