Beck, Tristan
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.23 |
| ERA current pace | 0.00 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.79 |
| Observed weight | 10% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 69.0% | 49 | 108 | limited sample |
| FB | 28.2% | 20 | 105 | limited sample |
| CB | 2.8% | 2 | 111 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 266 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.7% | 14.2% to 25.2% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.8% to 10.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Whiff% | 21.0% | 17.5% to 26.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.41 | 0.74 to 2.19 | +/- 0.73 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.322 | 0.277 to 0.366 | +/- 0.044 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.6% | 5.4% to 11.8% | +/- 3.2% |
| ERA | 4.48 | 2.92 to 6.43 | +/- 1.75 |
| FIP | 4.62 | 3.33 to 4.59 | +/- 0.63 |
| WHIP | 1.197 | 1.048 to 1.586 | +/- 0.269 |
294 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.313 |
| K% | 15.3% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 9.3% |
385 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 16.9% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 7.8% |