Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.02 |
| ERA current pace | 4.02 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.02 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 50.4% | 298 | 100 | qualified |
| SL | 32.0% | 189 | 93 | limited sample |
| FB | 17.6% | 104 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.52 |
| K% Δ | +0.084 |
| Sample | 50.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 70.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 312 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.1% | 16.2% to 28.1% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 6.5% to 11.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 22.6% | 19.5% to 29.7% | +/- 5.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.09 | 0.57 to 1.82 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.321 | 0.261 to 0.351 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.1% | 4.5% to 9.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 4.54 | 2.79 to 6.41 | +/- 1.81 |
| FIP | 4.01 | 2.69 to 5.63 | +/- 1.47 |
| WHIP | 1.281 | 1.055 to 1.617 | +/- 0.281 |
| xwOBA | 0.315 |
| K% | 17.6% |
| BB% | 10.7% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.274 |
| K% | 20.3% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
