Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SEA · 2026

Muñoz, Andrés

High-leverage relief profile with bat-miss

Primary
28.3% K%
Range
23.6% to 39.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team SEA Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
58
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
61
Arsenal5 metrics
40
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason2.68
ERA current pace4.19
ERA rolling p503.29
Observed weight40%
ERA
1.50 2.35 3.29 4.23 5.07
FIP
1.78 2.43 3.14 3.86 4.51
K%
26.8% 29.2% 31.9% 34.5% 36.9%
BB%
7.5% 8.9% 10.4% 11.9% 13.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.31
53
ERA4.19
44
BB%10.6%
29
K%34.8%
98
xwOBA allowed0.300
66 -16 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.2%
41
Fastball velo99.0
99
Hard-hit allowed43.5%
21
Whiff%39.5%
100
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Slider Stuff+99
28
Changeup Stuff+92
7
Fastball Stuff+103
53
Mithrandir Stuff+101
39
Sinker Stuff+105
71
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Muñoz, Andrés · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.300 2026-07-05: 0.3112026-07-06: 0.3112026-07-07: 0.3102026-07-08: 0.3102026-07-09: 0.3042026-07-10: 0.3042026-07-11: 0.3042026-07-12: 0.3042026-07-13: 0.3042026-07-14: 0.3002026-07-15: 0.3002026-07-16: 0.300 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Muñoz, Andrés · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 40%40%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Muñoz, Andrés · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 50.5%4-Seam Fastball: 35.5%Sinker: 10.4%Changeup: 3.6% SL50% · 87 mphprimary pitch SL 50%FF 36%SI 10%CH 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Muñoz, Andrés · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 50% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.8 mphSL87 mph4-Seam Fastball: 36% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 99.2 mphFF99 mphSinker: 10% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 98.1 mphSI98 mphChangeup: 4% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 91.4 mphCH91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 54.5% 235 99 qualified
FB 31.3% 135 103 limited sample
SI 10.2% 44 105 limited sample
CH 3.9% 17 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 52%, 4-Seam Fastball 34%, Sinker 13%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+1.40
K% Δ+0.065
Sample36.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings40.4----
Batters Faced166----
K%28.3%23.6% to 39.2%+/- 7.8%
BB%10.4%5.7% to 14.5%+/- 4.4%
Whiff%32.9%28.8% to 40.8%+/- 6.0%
HR/90.990.08 to 1.72+/- 0.82
xwOBA Against0.2810.207 to 0.343+/- 0.068
Barrel% Allowed8.3%3.9% to 12.4%+/- 4.2%
ERA2.790.36 to 5.31+/- 2.47
FIP3.201.70 to 5.48+/- 1.89
WHIP1.1330.806 to 1.517+/- 0.356
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

556 career BF

xwOBA0.265
K%29.3%
BB%11.5%
Barrel7.8%
vs RHH

601 career BF

xwOBA0.250
K%28.5%
BB%8.0%
Barrel6.8%