Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / HOU · 2026

De Los Santos, Enyel

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.3% K%
Range
16.1% to 30.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team HOU Archetype Balanced reliever Age 31 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.02
ERA current pace3.57
ERA rolling p503.89
Observed weight29%
ERA
2.05 2.92 3.89 4.85 5.72
FIP
1.97 2.78 3.69 4.59 5.40
K%
18.3% 20.8% 23.6% 26.3% 28.8%
BB%
5.3% 6.6% 8.1% 9.5% 10.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.1%
85 +34 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.3%
88 +52 vs proj
Fastball velo94.8
60
Hard-hit allowed37.7%
60
K%23.5%
56
Whiff%26.5%
74
xwOBA allowed0.256
91 +32 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
72
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

9 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed De Los Santos, Enyel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-23: 0.2802026-05-24: 0.2712026-05-25: 0.2712026-05-26: 0.2712026-05-28: 0.2572026-05-29: 0.2572026-05-30: 0.2562026-05-31: 0.2562026-06-01: 0.256 2026-05-23 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile De Los Santos, Enyel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 32%32%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal De Los Santos, Enyel · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 43.8%Slider: 30.7%Changeup: 25.5% MIX FF 44%SL 31%CH 26% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal De Los Santos, Enyel · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB 0.1, IVB 1.5FFSL: HB -0.0, IVB 2.6SLCH: HB -1.3, IVB 2.5CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.0% 150 101 limited sample
SL 29.9% 102 99 limited sample
CH 26.1% 89 117 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.334 vs 0.308 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 49%, Slider 36%, Changeup 15%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.45
K% Δ+0.002
Sample24.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings40.7----
Batters Faced174----
K%23.3%16.1% to 30.2%+/- 7.0%
BB%8.7%5.5% to 12.8%+/- 3.7%
Whiff%25.5%21.3% to 33.2%+/- 6.0%
HR/91.220.44 to 2.56+/- 1.06
xwOBA Against0.3050.266 to 0.389+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed8.8%4.3% to 15.0%+/- 5.3%
ERA4.022.21 to 7.00+/- 2.39
FIP3.992.60 to 7.08+/- 2.24
WHIP1.2200.985 to 1.716+/- 0.366
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

558 career BF

xwOBA0.334
K%18.6%
BB%9.5%
Barrel12.2%
vs RHH

850 career BF

xwOBA0.308
K%22.6%
BB%7.5%
Barrel9.8%