Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.57 |
| ERA current pace | 5.54 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.97 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 40.6% | 206 | 93 | qualified |
| CH | 27.0% | 137 | 101 | limited sample |
| SL | 22.0% | 112 | 101 | limited sample |
| SI | 9.1% | 46 | 105 | limited sample |
| FC | 1.4% | 7 | 92 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.86 |
| K% Δ | +0.037 |
| Sample | 36.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 62.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 287 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.0% | 15.3% to 27.5% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 9.8% | 6.8% to 13.8% | +/- 3.5% |
| Whiff% | 26.9% | 23.0% to 34.2% | +/- 5.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.21 | 0.75 to 2.09 | +/- 0.67 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.277 to 0.360 | +/- 0.041 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 5.5% to 11.6% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 4.68 | 2.51 to 6.80 | +/- 2.15 |
| FIP | 4.30 | 3.03 to 5.42 | +/- 1.20 |
| WHIP | 1.401 | 1.108 to 1.820 | +/- 0.356 |
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 10.1% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.320 |
| K% | 18.1% |
| BB% | 10.9% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |
