Webb, Jacob
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.77 |
| ERA current pace | 2.66 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.40 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 50.5% | 217 | 104 | qualified |
| CH | 36.5% | 157 | 111 | limited sample |
| SL | 7.4% | 32 | 104 | limited sample |
| CB | 5.6% | 24 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.93 |
| K% Δ | +0.047 |
| Sample | 25.7 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 40.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 167 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.7% | 17.3% to 29.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 6.3% to 13.4% | +/- 3.6% |
| Whiff% | 24.2% | 20.7% to 30.2% | +/- 4.7% |
| HR/9 | 1.19 | 0.64 to 2.13 | +/- 0.74 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.259 to 0.364 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.3% | 3.9% to 10.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.59 | 1.98 to 5.76 | +/- 1.89 |
| FIP | 3.94 | 2.99 to 5.30 | +/- 1.16 |
| WHIP | 1.280 | 0.985 to 1.539 | +/- 0.277 |
468 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.263 |
| K% | 21.2% |
| BB% | 9.4% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |
693 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.285 |
| K% | 21.0% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |