Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.75 |
| ERA current pace | 4.66 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.70 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 28.5% | 329 | 102 | qualified |
| SI | 22.7% | 262 | 109 | qualified |
| CH | 21.9% | 253 | 109 | qualified |
| FB | 20.1% | 232 | 107 | qualified |
| FC | 6.8% | 79 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.25 |
| K% Δ | -0.006 |
| Sample | 82.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 144.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 609 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.1% | 15.9% to 25.2% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.6% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 18.8% | 17.4% to 25.3% | +/- 4.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.27 | 0.81 to 2.04 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.339 | 0.300 to 0.368 | +/- 0.034 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.6% | 6.1% to 11.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| ERA | 4.91 | 3.67 to 6.99 | +/- 1.66 |
| FIP | 4.20 | 3.29 to 5.55 | +/- 1.13 |
| WHIP | 1.290 | 1.076 to 1.567 | +/- 0.246 |
| xwOBA | 0.320 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 8.6% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.298 |
| K% | 19.3% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 8.2% |
