Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Brazobán, Huascar

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.3% K%
Range
16.7% to 28.9%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 37 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
61
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
69
Arsenal5 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason3.99
ERA current pace3.16
ERA rolling p503.56
Observed weight53%
ERA
2.28 2.89 3.56 4.23 4.83
FIP
3.10 3.50 3.95 4.40 4.81
K%
18.4% 19.9% 21.7% 23.5% 25.1%
BB%
8.1% 9.1% 10.2% 11.3% 12.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.16
79
ERA3.16
79
BB%10.9%
27
K%21.1%
43
xwOBA allowed0.291
77 +24 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.1%
85 +27 vs proj
Fastball velo96.2
78
Hard-hit allowed31.2%
93
Whiff%24.1%
60
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+101
46
Mithrandir Stuff+101
37
Sinker Stuff+99
30
Cutter Stuff+100
37
Fastball Stuff+107
82
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Brazobán, Huascar · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.291 2026-09-12: 0.2922026-09-13: 0.2922026-09-14: 0.2922026-09-18: 0.2922026-09-19: 0.2922026-09-20: 0.2922026-09-21: 0.2892026-09-22: 0.2892026-09-23: 0.2912026-09-24: 0.2912026-09-25: 0.2912026-09-26: 0.291 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Brazobán, Huascar · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Brazobán, Huascar · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 49.8%Changeup: 39.6%4-Seam Fastball: 7.1%Cutter: 2.9%Slider: 0.6% SI50% · 96 mphprimary pitch SI 50%CH 40%FF 7%FC 3%SL 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Brazobán, Huascar · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Sinker: 50% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 96.2 mphSI96 mphChangeup: 40% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 90.8 mphCH91 mph4-Seam Fastball: 7% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 96.8 mphFF97 mphCutter: 3% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.2 mphFC91 mphSlider: 1% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.9 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 50.7% 332 99 qualified
CH 39.5% 259 101 qualified
FB 6.7% 44 107 limited sample
FC 2.1% 14 100 limited sample
SL 0.9% 6 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Changeup 38%, Sinker 37%, Cutter 13%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.70
K% Δ-0.012
Sample63.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings66.8----
Batters Faced286----
K%22.3%16.7% to 28.9%+/- 6.1%
BB%10.2%7.0% to 13.7%+/- 3.3%
Whiff%23.9%20.1% to 28.9%+/- 4.4%
HR/91.090.34 to 1.73+/- 0.69
xwOBA Against0.3100.261 to 0.342+/- 0.040
Barrel% Allowed6.9%4.5% to 9.9%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.862.44 to 6.03+/- 1.80
FIP4.242.66 to 5.07+/- 1.21
WHIP1.3221.028 to 1.665+/- 0.319
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

376 career BF

xwOBA0.302
K%18.6%
BB%12.9%
Barrel6.5%
vs RHH

555 career BF

xwOBA0.286
K%21.6%
BB%8.8%
Barrel6.2%