Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.03 |
| ERA current pace | 5.04 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.53 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 54.2% | 284 | 107 | qualified |
| SL | 43.7% | 229 | 103 | qualified |
| FC | 2.1% | 11 | 94 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.17 |
| K% Δ | -0.002 |
| Sample | 56.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 34.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 144 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.0% | 17.8% to 34.7% | +/- 8.4% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.1% to 12.7% | +/- 3.8% |
| Whiff% | 22.7% | 17.6% to 31.0% | +/- 6.7% |
| HR/9 | 1.34 | 0.57 to 2.48 | +/- 0.95 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.297 | 0.237 to 0.359 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.1% | 5.1% to 15.5% | +/- 5.2% |
| ERA | 3.87 | 2.05 to 6.83 | +/- 2.39 |
| FIP | 3.83 | 2.24 to 4.33 | +/- 1.05 |
| WHIP | 1.191 | 0.927 to 1.546 | +/- 0.310 |
| xwOBA | 0.278 |
| K% | 24.4% |
| BB% | 8.6% |
| Barrel | 11.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 24.4% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 11.3% |
