Minter, A.j.
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.46 |
| ERA current pace | 1.42 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.98 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC | 58.1% | 54 | 106 | limited sample |
| FB | 32.3% | 30 | 102 | limited sample |
| CH | 8.6% | 8 | 92 | limited sample |
| SI | 1.1% | 1 | 110 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 33.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 139 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.3% | 18.9% to 32.7% | +/- 6.9% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 5.1% to 13.2% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 26.2% | 20.4% to 34.6% | +/- 7.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.26 | 0.66 to 2.16 | +/- 0.75 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.305 | 0.233 to 0.354 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 4.4% to 12.3% | +/- 4.0% |
| ERA | 3.73 | 1.23 to 5.31 | +/- 2.04 |
| FIP | 3.81 | 2.58 to 4.73 | +/- 1.08 |
| WHIP | 1.204 | 0.932 to 1.463 | +/- 0.265 |
592 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 25.7% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 7.5% |
1067 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 23.8% |
| BB% | 7.9% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |