Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.42 |
| ERA current pace | 5.76 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.97 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 38.2% | 180 | 103 | limited sample |
| FB | 37.4% | 176 | 95 | limited sample |
| SL | 10.8% | 51 | 99 | limited sample |
| SI | 10.2% | 48 | 100 | limited sample |
| CH | 3.4% | 16 | 87 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.31 |
| K% Δ | +0.050 |
| Sample | 37.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 135.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 630 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.3% | 10.4% to 23.8% | +/- 6.7% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 4.7% to 10.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 19.7% | 15.3% to 24.4% | +/- 4.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.54 | 0.61 to 2.36 | +/- 0.88 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.317 | 0.257 to 0.348 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 4.2% to 13.2% | +/- 4.5% |
| ERA | 4.45 | 2.87 to 6.83 | +/- 1.98 |
| FIP | 4.74 | 3.36 to 6.10 | +/- 1.37 |
| WHIP | 1.352 | 1.098 to 1.713 | +/- 0.308 |
| xwOBA | 0.327 |
| K% | 12.0% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 10.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.303 |
| K% | 13.6% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |
