Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.81 |
| ERA current pace | 4.01 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.38 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 28.2% | 207 | 104 | qualified |
| FB | 25.8% | 189 | 104 | limited sample |
| SI | 23.9% | 175 | 102 | limited sample |
| FC | 14.5% | 106 | 100 | limited sample |
| CB | 7.6% | 56 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.17 |
| K% Δ | -0.038 |
| Sample | 64.3 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 142.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 619 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.9% | 11.1% to 21.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 4.1% to 8.5% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 17.5% | 14.7% to 23.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.59 | 0.82 to 3.01 | +/- 1.09 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.375 | 0.331 to 0.421 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.2% | 5.9% to 14.3% | +/- 4.2% |
| ERA | 5.18 | 3.40 to 6.91 | +/- 1.75 |
| FIP | 4.69 | 3.32 to 6.38 | +/- 1.53 |
| WHIP | 1.374 | 1.178 to 1.716 | +/- 0.269 |
| xwOBA | 0.346 |
| K% | 12.4% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 12.1% |
| xwOBA | 0.305 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 9.6% |
