Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIN · 2026

Banda, Anthony

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.4% K%
Range
19.1% to 30.9%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIN Archetype Volatile contact Age 33 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason3.52
ERA current pace5.79
ERA rolling p504.28
Observed weight33%
ERA
3.02 3.61 4.28 4.94 5.54
FIP
3.10 3.49 3.93 4.36 4.76
K%
18.4% 20.3% 22.6% 24.8% 26.8%
BB%
7.5% 8.7% 9.9% 11.2% 12.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%10.8%
24
Barrel allowed5.3%
80 +34 vs proj
Fastball velo93.9
44
Hard-hit allowed39.5%
48
K%19.2%
25 -29 vs proj
Whiff%24.0%
59
xwOBA allowed0.326
41
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+96
16
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Banda, Anthony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3232026-05-21: 0.3262026-05-23: 0.3232026-05-24: 0.3232026-05-25: 0.3182026-05-26: 0.3182026-05-28: 0.3192026-05-29: 0.3192026-05-30: 0.3212026-05-31: 0.3262026-06-01: 0.3262026-06-02: 0.326 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Banda, Anthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Banda, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 42.3%4-Seam Fastball: 30.2%Sinker: 21.2%Changeup: 6.3% MIX SL 42%FF 30%SI 21%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Banda, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot SL: HB -0.1, IVB 3.4SLFF: HB -0.4, IVB 1.3FFSI: HB 0.1, IVB 1.8SICH: HB -1.2, IVB 2.7CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 42.4% 175 93 limited sample
FB 28.8% 119 98 limited sample
SI 22.5% 93 99 limited sample
CH 6.3% 26 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.250 vs 0.289 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 50%, 4-Seam Fastball 23%, Sinker 23%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+1.93
K% Δ-0.042
Sample27.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.6----
Batters Faced282----
K%23.4%19.1% to 30.9%+/- 5.9%
BB%10.1%7.3% to 13.4%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%25.6%22.2% to 31.3%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.240.60 to 1.79+/- 0.59
xwOBA Against0.3150.250 to 0.343+/- 0.047
Barrel% Allowed7.9%5.6% to 11.0%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.861.81 to 5.19+/- 1.69
FIP4.292.84 to 5.06+/- 1.11
WHIP1.4071.021 to 1.605+/- 0.292
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

460 career BF

xwOBA0.250
K%23.7%
BB%9.0%
Barrel6.3%
vs RHH

708 career BF

xwOBA0.289
K%20.3%
BB%11.0%
Barrel8.2%