Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.41 |
| ERA current pace | 5.47 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.95 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 37.4% | 318 | 107 | qualified |
| SI | 27.8% | 237 | 95 | qualified |
| FC | 22.7% | 193 | 102 | limited sample |
| CH | 11.3% | 96 | 97 | limited sample |
| FB | 0.8% | 7 | 73 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.98 |
| K% Δ | -0.014 |
| Sample | 56.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 74.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 321 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.4% | 12.9% to 22.0% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 6.2% to 11.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 16.8% | 14.6% to 22.3% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.61 | 0.77 to 1.94 | +/- 0.59 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.356 | 0.294 to 0.371 | +/- 0.038 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.1% | 5.7% to 10.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| ERA | 4.49 | 3.25 to 6.16 | +/- 1.45 |
| FIP | 4.74 | 3.57 to 5.36 | +/- 0.89 |
| WHIP | 1.398 | 1.122 to 1.632 | +/- 0.255 |
| xwOBA | 0.332 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 9.9% |
| Barrel | 7.6% |
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 16.9% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |
