Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAD · 2026

Glasnow, Tyler

Breaking-ball driven starter profile

Primary
27.0% K%
Range
23.0% to 35.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Breaking-ball attack Age 33 Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.36
ERA current pace2.72
ERA rolling p503.08
Observed weight43%
ERA
2.08 2.56 3.08 3.61 4.08
FIP
2.33 2.77 3.27 3.76 4.21
K%
27.6% 29.5% 31.7% 33.8% 35.7%
BB%
6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 9.5% 10.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.2%
60 +15 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.8%
50
Fastball velo95.5
71
Hard-hit allowed38.8%
52
K%35.9%
99 +19 vs proj
Whiff%30.9%
91 +18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.252
93 +20 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+106
80
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Glasnow, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2522026-05-19: 0.2522026-05-21: 0.2522026-05-23: 0.2522026-05-24: 0.2522026-05-25: 0.2522026-05-26: 0.2522026-05-28: 0.2522026-05-29: 0.2522026-05-30: 0.2522026-05-31: 0.2522026-06-01: 0.252 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Glasnow, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Glasnow, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.4%Knuckle Curve: 23.4%Sinker: 22.1%Slider: 16.6%Curveball: 7.6% MIX FF 30%KC 23%SI 22%SL 17%CU 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Glasnow, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.0, IVB 1.2FFKC: HB 0.1, IVB 4.9KCSI: HB -0.1, IVB 1.3SISL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.8SLCU: HB 0.1, IVB 4.5CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CB 29.5% 177 101 limited sample
FB 29.0% 174 111 limited sample
SI 25.4% 152 101 limited sample
SL 16.0% 96 108 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 34%, Curveball 23%, Slider 22%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.59
K% Δ+0.088
Sample48.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings72.8----
Batters Faced294----
K%27.0%23.0% to 35.5%+/- 6.3%
BB%9.0%6.6% to 11.6%+/- 2.5%
Whiff%26.3%23.3% to 32.0%+/- 4.3%
HR/91.170.68 to 1.94+/- 0.63
xwOBA Against0.2880.256 to 0.326+/- 0.035
Barrel% Allowed8.6%6.3% to 11.7%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.312.31 to 5.11+/- 1.40
FIP3.382.55 to 5.19+/- 1.32
WHIP1.0990.883 to 1.376+/- 0.246
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

1674 career BF

xwOBA0.267
K%27.9%
BB%9.1%
Barrel8.2%
vs RHH

1788 career BF

xwOBA0.264
K%26.9%
BB%8.5%
Barrel8.6%