Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.33 |
| ERA current pace | 4.83 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.60 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 50.2% | 371 | 98 | qualified |
| SL | 23.5% | 174 | 102 | limited sample |
| SI | 11.1% | 82 | 93 | limited sample |
| FC | 8.0% | 59 | 100 | limited sample |
| CB | 7.2% | 53 | 99 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.29 |
| K% Δ | +0.028 |
| Sample | 65.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 76.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 326 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.8% | 14.1% to 24.1% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 4.9% to 9.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Whiff% | 17.9% | 15.8% to 22.9% | +/- 3.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.58 | 0.93 to 2.42 | +/- 0.75 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.347 | 0.289 to 0.368 | +/- 0.039 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.7% | 6.0% to 12.8% | +/- 3.4% |
| ERA | 4.54 | 3.04 to 6.22 | +/- 1.59 |
| FIP | 4.89 | 3.70 to 5.63 | +/- 0.96 |
| WHIP | 1.332 | 1.119 to 1.601 | +/- 0.241 |
| xwOBA | 0.334 |
| K% | 16.5% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 10.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.299 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |
