Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.72 |
| ERA current pace | 4.60 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.66 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 48.9% | 285 | 109 | qualified |
| SI | 41.0% | 239 | 93 | qualified |
| FB | 10.1% | 59 | 108 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.07 |
| K% Δ | +0.006 |
| Sample | 64.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 285 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.2% | 18.2% to 27.7% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 4.9% to 10.5% | +/- 2.8% |
| Whiff% | 21.3% | 17.5% to 25.2% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.35 | 1.07 to 2.52 | +/- 0.72 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.322 | 0.261 to 0.347 | +/- 0.043 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 5.0% to 10.5% | +/- 2.8% |
| ERA | 4.53 | 3.22 to 6.90 | +/- 1.84 |
| FIP | 4.25 | 3.41 to 5.58 | +/- 1.09 |
| WHIP | 1.257 | 0.979 to 1.591 | +/- 0.306 |
| xwOBA | 0.217 |
| K% | 20.9% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 4.8% |
| xwOBA | 0.252 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
