Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.26 |
| ERA current pace | 4.07 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.15 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 43.5% | 459 | 98 | qualified |
| SL | 31.6% | 334 | 105 | qualified |
| CH | 22.4% | 237 | 103 | qualified |
| FC | 2.5% | 26 | 87 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.69 |
| K% Δ | +0.001 |
| Sample | 73.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 70.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 301 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.1% | 14.8% to 25.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.4% to 10.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 23.0% | 19.3% to 27.9% | +/- 4.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.44 | 0.99 to 2.27 | +/- 0.64 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.333 | 0.271 to 0.353 | +/- 0.041 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 6.0% to 11.6% | +/- 2.8% |
| ERA | 4.76 | 2.75 to 6.12 | +/- 1.69 |
| FIP | 4.52 | 3.46 to 5.53 | +/- 1.04 |
| WHIP | 1.371 | 1.053 to 1.555 | +/- 0.251 |
| xwOBA | 0.275 |
| K% | 19.5% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 6.6% |
| xwOBA | 0.299 |
| K% | 18.6% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 8.9% |
