Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 20 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TB · 2026

Booser, Cam

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
24.5% K%
Range
18.5% to 32.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Volatile contact Age 34 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-20
97
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
81
Arsenal4 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-20
ERA preseason3.80
ERA current pace1.59
ERA rolling p503.23
Observed weight26%
ERA
1.41 2.27 3.23 4.18 5.05
FIP
2.75 3.28 3.87 4.47 5.00
K%
21.8% 24.4% 27.2% 30.0% 32.6%
BB%
5.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.1% 12.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-20
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.71
100
ERA1.59
98
BB%6.0%
88 +55 vs proj
K%34.5%
98 +35 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.233
99 +55 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.2%
72 +37 vs proj
Fastball velo95.5
68
Hard-hit allowed41.7%
32
Whiff%26.4%
75
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-20
Cutter Stuff+107
94
Fastball Stuff+96
16
Mithrandir Stuff+101
38
Slider Stuff+90
4
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

8 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Booser, Cam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.233 2026-07-13: 0.2312026-07-14: 0.2312026-07-15: 0.2312026-07-16: 0.2312026-07-17: 0.2312026-07-18: 0.2312026-07-19: 0.2402026-07-20: 0.233 2026-07-13 2026-07-20 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Booser, Cam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Booser, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 44.5%4-Seam Fastball: 38.4%Sweeper: 13.1%Changeup: 4.0% FC45% · 88 mphprimary pitch FC 45%FF 38%ST 13%CH 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Booser, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Cutter: 45% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.8 mphFC88 mph4-Seam Fastball: 38% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.5 mphFF96 mphSweeper: 13% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 81.4 mphST81 mphChangeup: 4% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 87.5 mphCH88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.6% 41 96 limited sample
FC 43.5% 40 107 limited sample
SL 10.9% 10 90 limited sample
CH 1.1% 1 87 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.250 vs 0.279 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
3
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
4
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 46%, Sweeper 31%, Cutter 21%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-2.48
K% Δ+0.101
Sample22.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings33.6----
Batters Faced149----
K%24.5%18.5% to 32.3%+/- 6.9%
BB%10.0%6.0% to 15.3%+/- 4.6%
Whiff%25.1%20.1% to 32.2%+/- 6.1%
HR/91.130.37 to 2.22+/- 0.93
xwOBA Against0.3190.222 to 0.358+/- 0.068
Barrel% Allowed8.7%4.1% to 13.3%+/- 4.6%
ERA4.071.95 to 6.58+/- 2.32
FIP4.172.51 to 5.38+/- 1.43
WHIP1.3210.966 to 1.683+/- 0.358
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

150 career BF

xwOBA0.250
K%23.7%
BB%10.5%
Barrel8.6%
vs RHH

207 career BF

xwOBA0.279
K%21.5%
BB%9.7%
Barrel9.2%