Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.83 |
| ERA current pace | 4.73 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.26 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 64.6% | 402 | 107 | qualified |
| FB | 35.2% | 219 | 99 | qualified |
| FC | 0.2% | 1 | 115 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.74 |
| K% Δ | -0.053 |
| Sample | 51.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 165 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.4% | 18.4% to 32.2% | +/- 6.9% |
| BB% | 9.6% | 6.4% to 14.0% | +/- 3.8% |
| Whiff% | 24.0% | 19.7% to 30.4% | +/- 5.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.30 | 0.36 to 2.26 | +/- 0.95 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.321 | 0.252 to 0.393 | +/- 0.070 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 4.5% to 12.8% | +/- 4.2% |
| ERA | 3.99 | 1.99 to 6.09 | +/- 2.05 |
| FIP | 4.04 | 2.55 to 4.61 | +/- 1.03 |
| WHIP | 1.270 | 1.013 to 1.758 | +/- 0.373 |
| xwOBA | 0.310 |
| K% | 22.6% |
| BB% | 11.7% |
| Barrel | 9.1% |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 23.8% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |
