Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.09 |
| ERA current pace | 4.67 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.35 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 48.4% | 353 | 102 | qualified |
| CH | 30.1% | 220 | 104 | qualified |
| SL | 11.6% | 85 | 102 | limited sample |
| CB | 9.9% | 72 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.06 |
| K% Δ | +0.021 |
| Sample | 49.0 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 69.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 293 | -- | -- |
| K% | 17.3% | 14.8% to 24.0% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 3.8% to 8.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Whiff% | 17.3% | 14.8% to 21.7% | +/- 3.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.42 | 0.85 to 2.08 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.331 | 0.285 to 0.356 | +/- 0.036 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.7% | 5.2% to 10.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 4.61 | 3.00 to 6.18 | +/- 1.59 |
| FIP | 4.30 | 3.34 to 5.14 | +/- 0.90 |
| WHIP | 1.326 | 1.094 to 1.583 | +/- 0.244 |
| xwOBA | 0.276 |
| K% | 16.7% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 5.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.301 |
| K% | 17.0% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |
