Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Kittredge, Andrew

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
25.3% K%
Range
19.4% to 32.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 36 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
56
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
55
Arsenal4 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason3.37
ERA current pace4.32
ERA rolling p503.66
Observed weight31%
ERA
2.42 3.01 3.66 4.32 4.90
FIP
3.15 3.52 3.92 4.33 4.69
K%
19.0% 21.2% 23.6% 26.1% 28.3%
BB%
4.2% 5.1% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.34
47
ERA4.32
42
BB%6.4%
83
K%21.1%
40 -30 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.294
69
Barrel allowed6.3%
72 +26 vs proj
Fastball velo94.9
56
Hard-hit allowed38.0%
57
Whiff%20.4%
28 -42 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-16
Fastball Stuff+93
7
Mithrandir Stuff+106
85
Sinker Stuff+107
90
Slider Stuff+105
72
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Kittredge, Andrew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.294 2026-07-05: 0.2922026-07-06: 0.2892026-07-07: 0.2892026-07-08: 0.2892026-07-09: 0.2892026-07-10: 0.2892026-07-11: 0.2912026-07-12: 0.2832026-07-13: 0.2832026-07-14: 0.2942026-07-15: 0.2942026-07-16: 0.294 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Kittredge, Andrew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kittredge, Andrew · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 48.8%Sinker: 40.5%4-Seam Fastball: 10.7% SL49% · 89 mphprimary pitch SL 49%SI 40%FF 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kittredge, Andrew · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Slider: 49% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.3 mphSL89 mphSinker: 40% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 95.0 mphSI95 mph4-Seam Fastball: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 49.8% 122 105 limited sample
SI 38.4% 94 107 limited sample
FB 11.8% 29 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 52%, Sinker 36%, 4-Seam Fastball 11%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.63
K% Δ-0.042
Sample24.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.2----
Batters Faced263----
K%25.3%19.4% to 32.1%+/- 6.4%
BB%6.8%4.6% to 9.5%+/- 2.4%
Whiff%25.4%20.8% to 31.5%+/- 5.3%
HR/91.300.94 to 2.19+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.2900.247 to 0.341+/- 0.047
Barrel% Allowed7.9%4.9% to 11.6%+/- 3.3%
ERA3.692.25 to 5.53+/- 1.64
FIP3.662.70 to 4.74+/- 1.02
WHIP1.1090.948 to 1.423+/- 0.238
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

542 career BF

xwOBA0.294
K%22.9%
BB%6.2%
Barrel9.8%
vs RHH

949 career BF

xwOBA0.278
K%23.5%
BB%5.8%
Barrel7.6%