Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.60 |
| ERA current pace | 5.27 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.91 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 29.7% | 204 | 99 | qualified |
| CH | 21.0% | 144 | 96 | limited sample |
| SI | 19.4% | 133 | 98 | limited sample |
| CB | 15.7% | 108 | 101 | limited sample |
| SL | 14.3% | 98 | 94 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.23 |
| K% Δ | -0.045 |
| Sample | 44.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 75.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 321 | -- | -- |
| K% | 15.5% | 11.9% to 21.5% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 6.6% to 11.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 17.2% | 14.7% to 22.3% | +/- 3.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.69 | 0.99 to 2.15 | +/- 0.58 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.388 | 0.321 to 0.415 | +/- 0.047 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 6.3% to 11.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 5.04 | 2.68 to 6.24 | +/- 1.78 |
| FIP | 5.16 | 3.90 to 6.25 | +/- 1.17 |
| WHIP | 1.507 | 1.156 to 1.694 | +/- 0.269 |
| xwOBA | 0.302 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.330 |
| K% | 14.9% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 8.1% |
