Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.06 |
| ERA current pace | 3.40 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.78 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 97.1% | 236 | 99 | qualified |
| SL | 2.9% | 7 | 94 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.63 |
| K% Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 41.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 37.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 155 | -- | -- |
| K% | 27.1% | 21.4% to 36.5% | +/- 7.5% |
| BB% | 10.5% | 6.4% to 15.1% | +/- 4.4% |
| Whiff% | 27.9% | 23.0% to 35.1% | +/- 6.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.18 | 0.58 to 2.26 | +/- 0.84 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.307 | 0.239 to 0.391 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.0% | 4.7% to 15.2% | +/- 5.2% |
| ERA | 4.03 | 1.71 to 6.85 | +/- 2.57 |
| FIP | 4.09 | 2.00 to 5.46 | +/- 1.73 |
| WHIP | 1.269 | 0.940 to 1.693 | +/- 0.376 |
| xwOBA | 0.282 |
| K% | 27.4% |
| BB% | 12.1% |
| Barrel | 11.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 29.2% |
| BB% | 9.0% |
| Barrel | 9.8% |
