Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026

Kuroda-Grauer, Joshua

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.291 xwOBA
Range
0.125 to 0.321
Live Δ
yes
Team ATH Archetype Balanced regular Age 23 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
53
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
47
Defense1 metrics
47
Speed1 metrics
59
Plate skills8 metrics
31
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.271
xwOBA current pace0.313
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight25%
xwOBA
0.206 0.242 0.282 0.321 0.357
wOBA
0.372 0.407 0.446 0.485 0.520
ISO
0.057 0.092 0.130 0.168 0.203
K%
10.1% 15.4% 21.2% 27.0% 32.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.4%
5 -39 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
77
Hard-hit%40.7%
60 +22 vs proj
xBA0.349
82
xSLG0.458
35
xwOBA0.313
61 +25 vs proj
BB%2.7%
3 -34 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
16
K%16.2%
85 +49 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B
59
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.0% · rebadged research
10
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions58.1% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
10
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Kuroda-Grauer, Joshua · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.313 2026-09-12: 0.3272026-09-13: 0.3272026-09-14: 0.3272026-09-18: 0.3272026-09-19: 0.3272026-09-20: 0.3272026-09-21: 0.3272026-09-22: 0.3272026-09-23: 0.3232026-09-24: 0.3202026-09-25: 0.3202026-09-26: 0.313 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

12 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Kuroda-Grauer, Joshua · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsPull 0%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 25% of plotted batted ballsOppo 25% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -14.02026-03-23 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 49.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -6.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 32.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -6.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 42.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.7 / LA 70.02026-07-01 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 16.02026-07-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -9.02026-09-22 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.2 / LA -6.02026-09-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -12.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Kuroda-Grauer, Joshua · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.022
wOBA Δ+0.154
Sample74 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances200----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2910.125 to 0.321+/- 0.098
ISO0.1430.024 to 0.215+/- 0.095
Barrel%4.4%0.2% to 5.7%+/- 2.7%
Hard-Hit%35.9%11.5% to 37.3%+/- 12.9%
K%25.3%6.8% to 36.2%+/- 14.7%
BB%7.5%0.9% to 8.9%+/- 4.0%
BABIP0.2880.177 to 0.360+/- 0.091
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

0 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%