Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026

Nishida, Rikuu

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.300 xwOBA
Range
0.138 to 0.332
Live Δ
--
Team CWS Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 25 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
53
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
50
Speed2 metrics
45
Plate skills8 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.272
xwOBA current pace0.247
xwOBA rolling p500.269
Observed weight13%
xwOBA
0.184 0.224 0.269 0.314 0.354
wOBA
0.237 0.287 0.341 0.396 0.446
ISO
0.040 0.070 0.103 0.136 0.166
K%
8.6% 14.0% 20.1% 26.2% 31.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Arm Runs1.4 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
26
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
65
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Nishida, Rikuu · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsPull 20%Center field third: 80% of plotted batted ballsCenter 80%Right field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsOppo 0% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 78.8 / LA 23.02026-03-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.6 / LA -75.02026-03-22 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -6.02026-05-25 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -22.02026-05-26 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 81.7 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -6.02026-05-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -11.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -29.02026-06-01 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -28.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.0 / LA 11.02026-06-05 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 78.7 / LA 8.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 11.02026-06-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.0 / LA 13.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Nishida, Rikuu · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 54%54%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 78%78%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 11%11% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances203----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3000.138 to 0.332+/- 0.097
ISO0.1110.046 to 0.191+/- 0.073
Barrel%3.7%0.2% to 5.0%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%34.9%12.6% to 38.7%+/- 13.0%
K%24.6%8.0% to 34.5%+/- 13.3%
BB%8.0%1.2% to 10.2%+/- 4.5%
BABIP0.2980.182 to 0.357+/- 0.088
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

3 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.5%
BB%0.4%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

3 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.5%
BB%0.5%
Barrel0.0%