Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TOR
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.401 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.277 |
| Observed weight | 5% |
xwOBA
0.185
0.228
0.277
0.325
0.368
wOBA
0.177
0.265
0.362
0.460
0.548
ISO
0.057
0.091
0.129
0.167
0.201
K%
8.6%
14.5%
21.1%
27.7%
33.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Range Runs-0.2 · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 83.3% · rebadged research
99
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.7% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions81.8% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline122
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
7 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.144 to 0.336 | +/- 0.096 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.053 to 0.203 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 12.4% to 38.2% | +/- 12.9% |
| K% | 24.6% | 7.7% to 34.1% | +/- 13.2% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 1.5% to 10.5% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.183 to 0.353 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |