Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
McAdoo, Charles
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TOR
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.279 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.205
0.238
0.273
0.309
0.341
wOBA
0.255
0.282
0.313
0.343
0.371
ISO
0.061
0.086
0.114
0.142
0.167
K%
13.3%
17.6%
22.4%
27.2%
31.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
22
Exit velocity85.1
19
Hard-hit%24.7%
7
-36 vs proj
xBA0.329
62
xSLG0.456
34
xwOBA0.279
25
-21 vs proj
BB%6.7%
30
Bat speed72.4
83
K%23.8%
45
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
21
Arm Strength85.5 · 2B
38
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
73
Range Runs1.1 · 2B
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.9 · 2B
88
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.8% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions61.5% · rebadged research
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
15
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| Sample | 105 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.143 to 0.336 | +/- 0.096 |
| ISO | 0.133 | 0.050 to 0.203 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.9% | 12.5% to 38.2% | +/- 12.9% |
| K% | 24.8% | 7.7% to 34.1% | +/- 13.2% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 1.5% to 10.5% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.183 to 0.353 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |