Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Cole, Zach
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.263 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.269 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
xwOBA
0.203
0.234
0.269
0.304
0.336
wOBA
0.282
0.317
0.356
0.394
0.429
ISO
0.071
0.109
0.151
0.193
0.231
K%
22.9%
27.5%
32.7%
37.8%
42.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.7%
18
-22 vs proj
Barrel%8.6%
86
+39 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
94
Exit velocity93.6
96
Hard-hit%54.3%
96
+59 vs proj
K%42.9%
0
xBA0.356
78
xSLG0.744
95
xwOBA0.289
31
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
45
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-0.2 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · LF
17
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
78
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 32.0% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
74
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
35 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.057 |
| Sample | 70 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 226 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.143 to 0.313 | +/- 0.085 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.049 to 0.255 | +/- 0.103 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.2% to 7.7% | +/- 3.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.9% | 17.6% to 45.7% | +/- 14.0% |
| K% | 31.6% | 14.2% to 39.6% | +/- 12.7% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 3.3% to 10.2% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.197 to 0.336 | +/- 0.070 |
vs LHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.051 |
| K% | 7.4% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
46 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.056 |
| K% | 7.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |