Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026

None

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.286 xwOBA
Range
0.129 to 0.328
Live Δ
--
Team ATL Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 26 Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.177
xwOBA rolling p500.259
Observed weight3%
xwOBA
0.162 0.208 0.259 0.310 0.356
wOBA
0.000 0.082 0.180 0.278 0.366
ISO
0.051 0.089 0.131 0.173 0.211
K%
9.5% 16.1% 23.4% 30.8% 37.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-0.2 · SS · small sample regression applied
36 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.9 · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions61.5% · rebadged research
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
19
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

5 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Jarvis, Jim · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 40% of plotted batted ballsPull 40%Center field third: 60% of plotted batted ballsCenter 60%Right field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsOppo 0% LF 335 CF 400 RF 325 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 24.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 2.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 28.02026-05-08 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 4.02025-03-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Jarvis, Jim · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 100%100%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 25%25% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances201----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2860.129 to 0.328+/- 0.100
ISO0.1220.047 to 0.212+/- 0.083
Barrel%3.5%0.2% to 5.4%+/- 2.6%
Hard-Hit%34.6%11.5% to 38.7%+/- 13.6%
K%25.5%7.5% to 36.3%+/- 14.4%
BB%8.1%1.2% to 9.9%+/- 4.3%
BABIP0.2880.164 to 0.356+/- 0.096
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

0 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.4%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.5%
Barrel0.0%