Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Bolte, Henry
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team ATH
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
75
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.258 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.257
0.277
0.298
0.320
0.340
wOBA
0.331
0.344
0.359
0.374
0.388
ISO
0.085
0.100
0.116
0.133
0.147
K%
21.4%
23.6%
25.9%
28.3%
30.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
54
Exit velocity90.3
82
Hard-hit%48.8%
91
+45 vs proj
xBA0.364
90
xSLG0.556
68
xwOBA0.317
67
+29 vs proj
BB%8.0%
45
+16 vs proj
Bat speed74.7
97
K%28.3%
22
-26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.4 · CF
81
Arm Strength99.5 · CF
88
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs2.3 · CF
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · CF
78
Bolts117.0 · CF
99
SB Success Rate76.0% · CF
36
Sprint Speed30.5 · CF
100
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.6% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions69.8% · rebadged research
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302 · validated thin sample
13
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.388 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
164 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.066 |
| Sample | 473 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.293 | 0.095 to 0.327 | +/- 0.116 |
| ISO | 0.130 | 0.023 to 0.201 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.4% | 9.2% to 38.9% | +/- 14.9% |
| K% | 23.3% | 7.7% to 34.0% | +/- 13.2% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.5% to 9.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.309 | 0.149 to 0.377 | +/- 0.114 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
9 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |