Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Clark, Max
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team DET
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.318 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.238
0.263
0.291
0.319
0.344
wOBA
0.313
0.333
0.356
0.378
0.399
ISO
0.085
0.108
0.133
0.157
0.180
K%
15.1%
18.7%
22.6%
26.6%
30.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.5%
7
-34 vs proj
Exit velocity85.4
23
Hard-hit%38.8%
52
xBA0.350
82
xSLG0.457
35
xwOBA0.318
68
BB%9.4%
61
Bat speed71.4
75
K%20.2%
67
+32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · CF
30
Arm Strength94.1 · CF
54
Outs Above Avg5.0 · CF
94
Range Runs4.1 · CF
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · CF
26
Sprint Speed28.6 · CF
82
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
79
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.358 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
105 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| Sample | 203 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.307 | 0.142 to 0.330 | +/- 0.094 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.051 to 0.223 | +/- 0.086 |
| Barrel% | 4.2% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.8% | 14.1% to 39.5% | +/- 12.7% |
| K% | 25.6% | 8.4% to 36.4% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 1.7% to 10.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.182 to 0.363 | +/- 0.091 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |