Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.290 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.269 |
| Observed weight | 12% |
xwOBA
0.163
0.213
0.269
0.325
0.375
wOBA
0.220
0.272
0.330
0.388
0.440
ISO
0.012
0.051
0.094
0.138
0.177
K%
13.4%
19.9%
27.1%
34.4%
40.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
70
Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
33
Sprint Speed28.9 · RF
89
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.3% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions50.0% · rebadged research
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
64
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
2 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.090 to 0.330 | +/- 0.120 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.027 to 0.213 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 3.7% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 7.1% to 41.4% | +/- 17.2% |
| K% | 29.1% | 9.7% to 40.8% | +/- 15.6% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 0.8% to 9.6% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.139 to 0.363 | +/- 0.112 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
5 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |