Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Quero, Edgar
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 23
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.263
0.277
0.292
0.308
0.321
wOBA
0.248
0.266
0.286
0.306
0.324
ISO
0.059
0.075
0.093
0.111
0.127
K%
17.0%
18.3%
19.7%
21.2%
22.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
8
-26 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
80
Hard-hit%40.7%
61
-19 vs proj
xBA0.289
20
xSLG0.410
16
xwOBA0.282
27
-25 vs proj
BB%8.9%
55
+17 vs proj
Bat speed67.2
24
K%19.5%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-2.0 · C
6
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
49
Framing Runs-4.0 · C
16
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.3 · C
1
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.0% · rebadged research
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
67
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
123 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.018 |
| Sample | 236 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 403 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.264 to 0.353 | +/- 0.045 |
| ISO | 0.125 | 0.055 to 0.190 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 1.9% to 6.3% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.9% | 37.4% to 52.4% | +/- 7.5% |
| K% | 17.0% | 14.9% to 23.9% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 5.3% to 11.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.252 to 0.346 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
139 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
271 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 11.6% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 2.3% |