Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / STL · 2026
Crooks, Jimmy
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team STL
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.254 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.270 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.224
0.246
0.270
0.294
0.316
wOBA
0.217
0.239
0.264
0.288
0.310
ISO
0.071
0.099
0.131
0.162
0.190
K%
20.1%
23.5%
27.2%
31.0%
34.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
77
+28 vs proj
Exit velocity91.7
92
Hard-hit%48.8%
92
+59 vs proj
xBA0.310
39
xSLG0.622
84
xwOBA0.294
40
BB%6.0%
24
Bat speed70.6
67
K%32.2%
8
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.4 · C
14
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
51
Framing Runs4.2 · C
85
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · C
35
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.358 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| Sample | 149 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 223 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.283 | 0.115 to 0.263 | +/- 0.074 |
| ISO | 0.151 | 0.025 to 0.218 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 13.5% to 40.1% | +/- 13.3% |
| K% | 27.0% | 12.6% to 35.5% | +/- 11.5% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.5% to 9.6% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.273 | 0.138 to 0.318 | +/- 0.090 |
vs LHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.035 |
| K% | 5.9% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
42 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.036 |
| K% | 5.7% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |