Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CHC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.276 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.353 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.282 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.200
0.239
0.282
0.325
0.364
wOBA
0.707
0.763
0.825
0.887
0.943
ISO
0.054
0.088
0.126
0.163
0.197
K%
6.7%
12.5%
19.0%
25.6%
31.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-0.2 · 2B · small sample regression applied
36
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.5 · 2B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.3% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 8.3% · rebadged research
99
Correct Decisions76.2% · rebadged research
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
34
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline120
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.153 to 0.328 | +/- 0.088 |
| ISO | 0.146 | 0.056 to 0.209 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.2% to 6.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.6% | 14.7% to 41.7% | +/- 13.5% |
| K% | 24.9% | 7.9% to 34.7% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 1.9% to 10.0% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.176 to 0.349 | +/- 0.087 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |