Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026
Ramírez, Pedro
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CHC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
39
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.277 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.284 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.237
0.258
0.281
0.304
0.325
wOBA
0.304
0.321
0.341
0.360
0.377
ISO
0.098
0.116
0.136
0.155
0.173
K%
12.8%
15.7%
19.0%
22.3%
25.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
29
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.9
62
Hard-hit%39.5%
56
xBA0.304
33
xSLG0.431
24
xwOBA0.284
28
-18 vs proj
BB%7.8%
41
Bat speed70.0
55
K%17.8%
79
+42 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
37
Arm Strength82.8 · 2B
13
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs0.9 · 2B
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · 2B
32
SB Success Rate85.7% · 2B
66
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
75
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.9% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
79
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
60
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
123 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.042 |
| Sample | 270 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.152 to 0.328 | +/- 0.088 |
| ISO | 0.146 | 0.057 to 0.209 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 4.6% | 0.2% to 6.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 14.7% to 41.7% | +/- 13.5% |
| K% | 25.0% | 8.0% to 34.7% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 1.9% to 10.1% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.176 to 0.349 | +/- 0.086 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |