Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PIT
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
54
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.276 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.256 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 10% |
xwOBA
0.184
0.227
0.274
0.322
0.364
wOBA
0.111
0.160
0.216
0.272
0.321
ISO
0.070
0.105
0.145
0.184
0.219
K%
10.2%
16.2%
23.0%
29.7%
35.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
65
Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.6% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
52
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.131 to 0.330 | +/- 0.099 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.047 to 0.212 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 0.2% to 5.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.1% | 11.3% to 38.4% | +/- 13.6% |
| K% | 24.5% | 7.1% to 35.5% | +/- 14.2% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 0.9% to 10.6% | +/- 4.9% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.164 to 0.363 | +/- 0.099 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |