Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
White, Tommy
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team ATH
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.293 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.221
0.248
0.278
0.308
0.335
wOBA
0.248
0.267
0.288
0.310
0.329
ISO
0.036
0.062
0.091
0.120
0.146
K%
13.7%
17.2%
21.1%
25.0%
28.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
66
+27 vs proj
Exit velocity86.0
29
Hard-hit%32.7%
26
xBA0.323
56
xSLG0.471
40
xwOBA0.293
38
BB%3.9%
8
-28 vs proj
Bat speed67.4
25
K%18.0%
78
+41 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 1B
19
Range Runs-3.5 · 1B
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · 1B
30
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.1% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.259 · borderline
94
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
65
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
91 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| Sample | 206 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.119 to 0.325 | +/- 0.103 |
| ISO | 0.134 | 0.006 to 0.215 | +/- 0.104 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.8% | 11.8% to 37.4% | +/- 12.8% |
| K% | 25.2% | 8.3% to 36.4% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 1.2% to 8.9% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.179 to 0.365 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |