Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026

Cauley, Cam

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.296 xwOBA
Range
0.098 to 0.332
Live Δ
yes
Team TEX Archetype Impact slugger Age 23 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
6
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
19
Defense1 metrics
50
Speed2 metrics
86
Plate skills10 metrics
78
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.265
xwOBA current pace0.235
xwOBA rolling p500.258
Observed weight24%
xwOBA
0.168 0.210 0.258 0.306 0.349
wOBA
0.259 0.294 0.332 0.370 0.405
ISO
0.031 0.066 0.105 0.144 0.180
K%
14.0% 19.0% 24.5% 30.1% 35.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1 -44 vs proj
Exit velocity84.9
19
Hard-hit%21.7%
4 -31 vs proj
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.321
2
xwOBA0.235
5 -37 vs proj
BB%10.1%
70 +40 vs proj
Bat speed65.0
7
K%21.7%
57 +35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Arm Runs0.1 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs-3.9 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts16.0 · CF
72
Sprint Speed30.5 · CF
100
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.4% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.4% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions75.0% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
56
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
62
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
74
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline119
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cauley, Cam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.235 2026-09-12: 0.2352026-09-13: 0.2352026-09-14: 0.2352026-09-18: 0.2352026-09-19: 0.2352026-09-20: 0.2352026-09-21: 0.2352026-09-22: 0.2352026-09-23: 0.2352026-09-24: 0.2352026-09-25: 0.2352026-09-26: 0.235 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

12 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Cauley, Cam · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsPull 0%Center field third: 92% of plotted batted ballsCenter 92%Right field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsOppo 8% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 9.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -20.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.4 / LA -45.02026-06-30 · field out · CU · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 72.02026-07-01 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -7.02026-08-02 · field out · ST · popup · EV 69.5 / LA 81.02026-08-02 · field out · FC · popup · EV 93.1 / LA 64.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 59.9 / LA -21.02026-08-05 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 1.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 48.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cauley, Cam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 22%22% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.060
wOBA Δ+0.036
Sample69 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances201----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2960.098 to 0.332+/- 0.117
ISO0.1410.012 to 0.204+/- 0.096
Barrel%4.5%0.2% to 6.0%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%35.0%9.1% to 42.2%+/- 16.6%
K%28.4%9.7% to 37.1%+/- 13.7%
BB%6.7%1.0% to 9.9%+/- 4.4%
BABIP0.2970.128 to 0.366+/- 0.119
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

6 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.1%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

11 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.1%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%