Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.254 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.261 |
| Observed weight | 15% |
xwOBA
0.156
0.205
0.261
0.316
0.366
wOBA
0.167
0.210
0.258
0.306
0.349
ISO
0.000
0.031
0.074
0.117
0.156
K%
12.7%
18.6%
25.1%
31.7%
37.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
70
Range Runs1.0 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 52.4% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.4% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
48
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
33
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
11 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.287 | 0.075 to 0.320 | +/- 0.122 |
| ISO | 0.115 | 0.001 to 0.194 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.0% | 8.5% to 39.3% | +/- 15.4% |
| K% | 24.9% | 7.9% to 36.9% | +/- 14.5% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 0.5% to 8.8% | +/- 4.2% |
| BABIP | 0.285 | 0.131 to 0.367 | +/- 0.118 |
vs LHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.8% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
6 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.9% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |